Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Becoming less humid today, but it stays hot

The cold front has moved through and now some less humid air is working into the area.  We will have an area of high pressure build over us today, so expect plenty of sunshine.  Unfortunately, the cold front will not cool us down with high temperatures in the mid 90s. It will be a nice day to sit at the pool!  If you have to work outside, find ways to stay cool and hydrated! 

Tonight will be more pleasant with clear skies and it will not be as muggy.  Lows north of the lake will be nice as they fall to the upper 60s.  However, it will be much warmer south of the lake with lows in the 70s.

We will have more sunny weather on Wednesday and Thursday as the area of high pressure remains over us.  It will stay less humid too, but we remain hot with high temperatures in the lower to mid 90s. 

The weather will slowly start to change on Friday as the area of high pressure moves east of Louisiana.  This will bring back southerly winds and the humidity will slowly start to go back up.  It will be partly cloudy and hot with only a slight chance for a few showers or thunderstorms. We will also have a slight chance for rain/storms this weekend.  Highs will be in the lower 90s each day. 

For an detailed update on the tropics, click here.

For the latest marine forecast, click here.

Friday, September 16, 2016

Remembering Hurricane Ivan - 12 years ago today

Hurricane Ivan made landfall 12 years ago today at 1:50 AM just west of Gulf Shores, AL as a Category 3 Hurricane.  Winds were sustained at 120 mph at landfall.  There was significant damage, and some say it was worse than Opal (1995) and Frederic (1979).  Damage was estimated to be near $14 Billion. There were 8 deaths in the Western Florida Panhandle directly related to Ivan. 

Ivan was the first hurricane I covered when I moved to Baton Rouge. I was sent to Mobile to cover the storm Live for WBRZ.  My crew and I worked continuously for over 24 hours straight to bring Baton Rougians the latest information about the storm and the places they go to vacation each year.  I remember when the western eye wall moved over us.  Winds were sustained around 100 mph with higher gusts.  I could lean backwards in the wind and not fall down! It was just incredible.  

Once the storm moved to the north, we ventured out to cover the devastation.  Power was out everywhere.  As we drove down Highway 59 on the Eastern Shore of Mobile Bay, damage was becoming more extensive as we got into Foley and eventually Gulf Shores.  You could see the debris from the storm surge up from the coast for miles.  Condos along the beach were missing their Gulf facing walls. Homes and restaurants were missing with only slabs showing. Needless to say, this was the worst devastation I had ever seen...at that time (Of course it was much worse with Katrina in 2005). 

This storm proved that Louisiana was NOT ready for a major hurricane - especially with an evacuation plan! It took people well over 12 hours to get to Baton Rouge!  I call this hurricane a blessing in disguise since it made the local and state officials come up with a better evacuation plan ASAP!  No one would have thought that we would need that plan in less than a year for Hurricane Katrina! 

Here is a look at Ivan making landfall from the Mobile, AL NWS Doppler Radar:

The maximum storm surge along the coastlines of MS, AL and FL ranged from 10-15 feet according to the NWS Mobile. Fortunately, for downtown Mobile, the center of Ivan passed to the east of the city.  Had Ivan made landfall west of Mobile Bay, it is possible that nearly 16 to 18 feet of devastating surge would have impacted downtown! 

As you can see, we are still vulnerable for hurricanes throughout the month of September.  Don't let your guard down, and stay prepared this ENTIRE hurricane season. -Dave

Get ready for plenty of storms today and this weekend

Today's Forecast: A weak area of low pressure remains over the Western Gulf of Mexico. It is slowly moving to the NW toward Texas.  Combine that low with an area of high pressure over the Eastern U.S., and we will continue to have plenty of Gulf Moisture streaming over SE Louisiana today through the weekend.  
This will cause scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop today.  Some of the rain will be heavy at times, and it could cause some street flooding.  Due to the rain and cloud cover, we will not be as hot with highs only around 90 today.  Tonight will be partly cloudy and muggy with a few showers. Lows will be in the 70s north and 80 south.
Weekend Forecast: As mentioned above, we will continue to see scattered storms all weekend, but it will not be a total washout.  However, if you are headed to any of the college football games, plan on rain for tailgating, but most of it will end by kickoff.  Highs each day will be only around 90, and lows will be in the 70s north and 80 south of the lake.
Football Forecast:  If you are headed to the Mississippi State vs. LSU game on Saturday, plan for scattered storms while tailgating. Temperatures will be in the 80s.  There will still be a chance for rain/storms at the 6 PM kickoff, so you may want to bring your poncho or rain coat with you.  
You can expect much of the same for the Navy vs. Tulane game as well. Plenty of rain/storms for tailgating and then it will taper off by kickoff. Bring your rain gear.  Temperatures will also be in the 80s. 
For an detailed update on the tropics, click here.
For the latest marine forecast, click here.
Have a great weekend and try to stay dry! -Dave

Thursday, September 15, 2016

Scattered storms return today and last through the weekend

Forecast Details: There is a weak low in the Western Gulf, south of LA, but is not expected to develop as it moves towards TX.  At the same time, there is an area of high pressure located over Texas. This will send a weak disturbances across LA today and Friday. Combine that with the Gulf Low, and there is tropical moisture in place that will keep scattered showers and storms in the forecast. Some heavy rain will be possible. Today and Friday will be mostly cloudy and hot with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the lower 90s. 

Tonight will become partly cloudy and muggy with a slight chance for a few showers - mainly along the coast. Lows will be in the 70s.

Weekend Outlook: The weekend looks to be a little soggy with more scattered storms each day as the disturbances move around the high over us. Some heavy rain is possible.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows will be in the 70s.

Football Forecast: Most of the scattered storms will be ending by the 6 PM kickoff in Baton Rouge for the Mississippi State vs. LSU game. Expect storms for tailgating with temperatures around 90.  

There will be scattered storms in New Orleans if you are tailgating before the Tulane game against Navy at 6 PM. Most of the storms will be gone by kickoff with temperatures in the 80s.  

The Saints are in NJ/NY playing the Giants. It looks like the game could be soggy as a cold front moves through up there. Noon kickoff temperatures will be in the 70s.

For an detailed update on the tropics, click here.

For the latest marine forecast, click here.

Thursday, September 8, 2016

A tad less humid today, but the humidity returns this weekend

Today's Outlook: An area of high pressure will continue to sit over the Southeast U.S. today and Friday.  This will keep some drier air over us, and that is even lowering the humidity a tad too. It will also limit the amount of rain we see to only stray showers.  However, there is an upper-level low in the Central Gulf of Mexico that is slowly moving to the west. This will not form into anything, but it will set off some coastal showers that could move inland.  Therefore, expect partly cloudy skies with only stray showers today. Highs will be in the lower 90s, and it will feel like 95-100.  
Tonight will be mostly clear and not as muggy with lows around 70 north and upper 70s south each day. Looks like there will be one more refreshing night on the Northshore before the muggy weather returns.
Weekend Forecast: The weekend will see an increase in the moisture and humidity as a tropical wave moves across the Gulf and a cold front stalls just north of New Orleans. The cold front will not likely get below the I-20 corridor, but that is close enough to help get us some rain. Saturday and Sunday will be partly cloudy and hot with spotty storms each day.  Highs will be in the lower 90s and lows in the 70s. 
Saints' Game Day: The Saints open their season this Sunday!  Who Dat!!  The weather will be nice for tailgating before the game with partly cloudy skies and a slight chance for a shower with temps. in the 80s. There will be spotty storms for the Noon kickoff with temps. around 90°, so it is good the game is indoors! After the game (and hopefully a victory) it will be mostly cloudy and hot with spotty storms. Temps. will be in the 90s. 
Tropics: There is a broad area of low pressure, now Invest 93L, about 350 miles east of the Leeward Islands. It is moving to the NW and has a low chance for development over the next 5 days. Forecast models show it moving to the NW and then curving out to sea. 
There is also a disorganized tropical wave located 500 miles SW of the Cabo Verde Islands. It is battling some dry air and wind shear, so it has a low chance for development in 2 days.  Then it will move into a more favorable area for development next week and it has a medium chance for development then.  Models show it staying out at sea. 
Elsewhere...the rest of the tropics are quiet. 

Watch my latest weathercast from Noon today here: